Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#327
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#330
Pace68.2#190
Improvement+5.0#16

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#328
First Shot-5.5#316
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#284
Layup/Dunks-3.2#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#165
Freethrows-1.2#269
Improvement+3.4#40

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#286
First Shot-2.6#246
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#313
Layups/Dunks-1.5#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#232
Freethrows-0.5#218
Improvement+1.7#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 20.0 - 1.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 31.0 - 3.01.0 - 8.0
Quad 46.0 - 14.07.0 - 22.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 31   @ North Carolina St. L 55-105 2%     0 - 1 -34.8 -13.6 -18.5
  Nov 09, 2018 105   @ Hofstra L 61-79 5%     0 - 2 -10.6 -16.4 +6.5
  Nov 14, 2018 171   @ Marshall L 75-98 11%     0 - 3 -20.9 -10.6 -6.9
  Nov 18, 2018 23   @ Maryland L 77-92 1%     0 - 4 +1.8 +8.9 -6.3
  Nov 21, 2018 315   N.C. A&T L 60-74 53%     0 - 5 -26.2 -13.1 -14.1
  Nov 25, 2018 338   @ Morgan St. L 68-78 50%     0 - 6 -21.2 -17.1 -2.9
  Dec 01, 2018 273   @ Loyola Maryland L 65-75 23%     0 - 7 -13.6 -13.6 +0.5
  Dec 05, 2018 73   @ St. John's L 71-85 4%     0 - 8 -4.3 +1.6 -5.8
  Dec 08, 2018 175   Lehigh L 78-85 23%     0 - 9 -10.6 -8.7 -1.1
  Dec 18, 2018 204   @ American W 56-55 14%     1 - 9 +1.2 -4.1 +5.5
  Dec 30, 2018 45   @ Minnesota L 53-71 2%     1 - 10 -4.6 -11.1 +5.9
  Jan 03, 2019 259   @ St. Francis (PA) L 69-80 21%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -13.9 -11.9 -1.6
  Jan 05, 2019 274   @ Robert Morris L 59-62 23%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -6.7 -6.8 -0.1
  Jan 10, 2019 322   Bryant L 59-66 59%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -20.6 -18.5 -2.5
  Jan 12, 2019 325   Central Connecticut St. L 68-77 60%     1 - 14 0 - 4 -22.8 -9.7 -13.4
  Jan 19, 2019 314   @ Wagner W 70-56 32%     2 - 14 1 - 4 +7.4 +3.6 +5.2
  Jan 21, 2019 219   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 69-87 16%     2 - 15 1 - 5 -18.5 -1.2 -18.8
  Jan 24, 2019 256   LIU Brooklyn W 74-72 39%     3 - 15 2 - 5 -6.3 +2.0 -8.3
  Jan 26, 2019 285   St. Francis Brooklyn L 67-74 44%     3 - 16 2 - 6 -16.7 -4.0 -13.1
  Jan 31, 2019 246   Sacred Heart L 79-87 37%     3 - 17 2 - 7 -15.9 -3.9 -11.6
  Feb 02, 2019 259   St. Francis (PA) L 63-72 39%     3 - 18 2 - 8 -17.5 -15.7 -2.1
  Feb 07, 2019 256   @ LIU Brooklyn L 62-77 21%     3 - 19 2 - 9 -17.8 -11.5 -6.1
  Feb 09, 2019 246   @ Sacred Heart W 76-73 20%     4 - 19 3 - 9 +0.6 -2.7 +3.2
  Feb 14, 2019 274   Robert Morris W 76-62 42%     5 - 19 4 - 9 +4.8 +2.6 +2.3
  Feb 16, 2019 314   Wagner L 56-58 53%     5 - 20 4 - 10 -14.1 -12.3 -2.1
  Feb 21, 2019 325   @ Central Connecticut St. W 79-66 38%     6 - 20 5 - 10 +4.7 +1.4 +3.2
  Feb 23, 2019 322   @ Bryant L 58-81 38%     6 - 21 5 - 11 -31.0 -19.1 -12.6
  Feb 28, 2019 219   Fairleigh Dickinson L 59-65 30%     6 - 22 5 - 12 -12.0 -17.7 +5.5
  Mar 02, 2019 285   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 73-71 25%     7 - 22 6 - 12 -2.2 +5.8 -7.9
Projected Record 7.0 - 22.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%